Rate expectations

Going into this year the market was expecting about 6 rate cuts and the Fed was predicting 3 cuts. After almost four months where are we? The Fed is still expecting 3 cuts while the market is around 2 cuts and some are even whispering about no cuts at all. A lot can change after […]

A belated look back 2023

I must confess, I am about a month and half late on sending out my 2023 year end report. If I was someone with lesser integrity I would blame this delay on my newborn but, of course, I would never do such a thing! Anyway I hope you are able to get some nuggets out […]

Big job numbers for January help stop the rate rally

Heading into this year the big question was, and still is, just how many times will the Fed cut interest rates? The market was anticipating six cuts which is why we saw rates drop like a rock from 8% to the mid 6’s. However If you’ve been reading my market updates for a while you […]

A Look to 2024

You didn’t think rates would just drop in a straight line did you? What would be the fun in that! In all seriousness I don’t put to much stock in this recent move higher. When rates drop off a cliff it’s not unusual for there to be a small rebound. Plus it’s the beginning of […]

Is this the “soft landing” we’ve been hearing about?.

I bet you’ve never been so excited to see interest rates in the 6% range huh? So what was the catalyst to cause rates to drop so quickly? It all comes down to the usual suspects. Inflation and the job report for November were both below expectations. That’s not to say that inflation is at […]